山东省低碳物流与区域经济的耦合协调研究

红光，田栋^*，乔洪滨，王硕

内蒙古工业大学经济管理学院，内蒙古 呼和浩特  010051

摘要：为分析山东省低碳物流与区域经济的耦合协调发展水平，构建低碳物流与区域经济评价指标体系，采用熵权法和耦合协调度模型分析山东省2014—2023年低碳物流和区域经济综合发展水平的耦合协调度，分析影响二者协调发展的主要因素。结果表明：山东省2014—2023年低碳物流和区域经济综合发展水平均持续增长，低碳物流综合发展水平得分由0.066 3增至0.912 6，区域经济综合发展水平得分由0.032 1增至0.994 6；二者的耦合协调度不断增大，由0.215增至0.976，耦合协调水平经历了由中度失调转为初级协调再到优质协调的变化过程；区域经济有序度和低碳物流有序度显著正相关，二者呈高度协同的交互机制，未来协调发展趋势持续向好；制约低碳物流与区域经济协调发展主要因素分别为生态水平和产业结构。可通过优化运输网络、推动能源结构转型、推广绿色物流技术应用、发展低碳农业等措施，实现山东省物流的低碳化转型和区域经济的高质量发展。

关键词：低碳物流；区域经济；耦合协调度；熵权法

Research on the coupling coordination of low-carbon logistics and regional economy in Shandong Province

HONG Guang, TIAN Dong^*, QIAO Hongbin, WANG Shuo

School of Economics and Management, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot 010051, China

Abstract: To analyze the coupling coordination development level between low-carbon logistics and regional economy in Shandong Province, a multidimensional evaluation index system for low-carbon logistics and regional economy is constructed. The entropy weight method and a coupling coordination degree model are employed to assess the comprehensive development levels of low-carbon logistics and regional economy and their coupling coordination degree in Shandong Province from 2014 to 2023, identifying key factors influencing their coordinated development. Results indicate that the comprehensive development levels of both low-carbon logistics and regional economy in Shandong Province continuously increase from 2014 to 2023, with the low-carbon logistics composite score rising from 0.066 3 to 0.912 6 and the regional economy composite score growing from 0.032 1 to 0.994 6. The coupling coordination degree increases from 0.215 to 0.976, transitioning from moderate imbalance to primary coordination and further to high-quality coordination. The order degree of regional economy and low-carbon logistics shows a significant positive correlation, reflecting a highly synergistic interaction mechanism with sustained positive coordination trends. The main constraints for coordinated development are ecological level and industrial structure. Shandong Province can achieve low-carbon transformation of logistics and high-quality development of the regional economy by optimizing transport networks, promoting energy structure transition, advancing green logistics technologies, and developing low-carbon agriculture.

Keywords: low-carbon logistics; regional economy; coupling coordination degree; entropy weight method