基于层次分析法的成山头商渔船碰撞安全评价

王士鹏，周兆欣^*，韩洋，秦圻，段鹏飞，冯喜惠

山东交通学院航运学院，山东 威海  264200

摘要：为减少成山头水域商渔船碰撞事故的发生，分析引发事故的主要影响因素，邀请相关专家参与问卷调查，对成山头水域近10 a的商渔船碰撞事故进行系统分析，从事故致因理论“人-机-环-管”4个角度研究事故影响因素，构建成山头商渔船碰撞安全风险评价体系，运用层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process,AHP)构建比较矩阵，对各影响因素进行权重分析。结果表明：人员因素是造成成山头商渔船碰撞的主要影响因素，其余依次是管理因素、船舶因素和环境因素，并根据各影响因素的权重及特点提出针对性整改意见，为商渔船避碰研究提供一定的理论参考。

关键词：AHP；事故致因理论；商渔船碰撞；安全评价；成山头水域

Collision safety evaluation of Chengshantou commercial fishing vessels based on analytic hierarchy process

WANG Shipeng, ZHOU Zhaoxin^*, HAN Yang,

QIN Qi, DUAN Pengfei, FENG Xihui

School of Shipping, Shandong Jiaotong University, Weihai 264200, China

Abstract:To reduce the occurrence of collision between merchant ship and fishing vessel accidents in Chengshantou water area, the main influencing factors of the accident are analyzed, relevant experts’ opinions on the commercial fishing vessel collisions in Chengshantou waters in the past 10 years are systematically analyzed. To explore the impact factors of accidents from the accident-causing theory including man-machine-circum-management four angles, Chengshantou collision between merchant ship and fishing vessel safety risk evaluation system is built with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to build a comparison matrix and analyze the weight of each influencing factor. The results show that the human factor is the main influencing factor that caused the collision between merchant ship and fishing vessel in Chengshantou, and the rest are management factors, ship factors and environmental factors in order. According to the weight ratio and characteristics of each influencing factor, targeted rectification suggestions are put forward. The research provides a certain theoretical reference to avoid collision between merchant ship and fishing vessel.

Keywords:AHP; accident-causing theory; collision between merchant ship and fishing vessel; safety evaluation; Chengshantou water area